National : President: general election : 2024 Polls (2024)

UPDATED Oct. 26, 2024, at 10:54 AM

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National : President: general election : 2024 Polls (2)

Recent polling average updates

President

WIEvenNVEvenPAEvenMIEvenNCR+1GAR+2AZR+2MND+5NHD+6VAD+6FLR+6TXR+7NMD+7OHR+8MOR+13NYD+15MTR+18NER+18WAD+19CAD+24MAD+27MDD+29

Senate

NER+1OHD+2WID+3TXR+3PAD+4MID+4FLR+5MTR+5AZD+7NVD+8MOR+10NMD+10MDD+10MND+11VAD+13TNR+19NYD+22MAD+23CAD+23NDR+23

Check out our popular polling averages

Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls?General election polling average
Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress?Generic ballot polling average
Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Kamala Harris?Favorability polling average
Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump?Favorability polling average

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterSponsorResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024AVG.

Oct. 23-25

1,333LV

Oct. 23-25

1,333LV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

48%

Trump Even

Oct. 23-24

1,000LV

Oct. 23-24

1,000LV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%

49%

Trump Even

Oct. 19-24

1,000LV

Oct. 19-24

1,000LV

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%

50%

Trump Even

Oct. 21-23

633LV

Oct. 21-23

633LV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

48%

Trump Harris+1

Oct. 21-23

1,033A

Oct. 21-23

1,033A

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

45%

Trump Harris+4

Oct. 21-23

800LV

Oct. 21-23

800LV

Senate Opportunity Fund

Senate Opportunity Fund is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party.

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump Trump+1

Oct. 20-23

2,516LV

Oct. 20-23

2,516LV

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%

47%

TrumpTrump+1

46%

Harris

47%

Trump

2%

Stein

0%

Oliver

Oct. 20-23

2,516LV

Oct. 20-23

2,516LV

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

48%

Trump Even

Oct. 20-23

2,516RV

Oct. 20-23

2,516RV

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%

46%

TrumpTrump+1

45%

Harris

46%

Trump

2%

Stein

0%

Oliver

Oct. 20-23

2,516RV

Oct. 20-23

2,516RV

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump Even

Oct. 20-23

1,704RV

Oct. 20-23

1,704RV

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%

46%

TrumpHarris+1

47%

Harris

46%

Trump

2%

Oliver

1%

Stein

Oct. 20-23

1,704LV

Oct. 20-23

1,704LV

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%

47%

TrumpEven

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

2%

Oliver

1%

Stein

Oct. 18-23

1,592LV

Oct. 18-23

1,592LV

Harris

52%

Harris

52%

Harris

52%

Trump

45%

45%

Trump Harris+7

Oct. 18-23

1,739RV

Oct. 18-23

1,739RV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump Harris+6

Oct. 18-23

2,026A

Oct. 18-23

2,026A

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

41%

41%

Trump Harris+5

Oct. 21-22

1,244LV

Oct. 21-22

1,244LV

Forbes Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

West

2%

Stein

0%

49%

TrumpTrump+1

48%

Harris

49%

Trump

2%

West

0%

Stein

Oct. 21-22

1,512RV

Oct. 21-22

1,512RV

Forbes Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

West

3%

Stein

1%

48%

TrumpEven

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

3%

West

1%

Stein

Oct. 21-22

1,244LV

Oct. 21-22

1,244LV

Forbes Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%

51%

Trump Trump+2

Oct. 21-22

1,512RV

Oct. 21-22

1,512RV

Forbes Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%

51%

Trump Trump+2

Oct. 20-22

1,294LV

Oct. 20-22

1,294LV

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

47%

Trump Harris+2

Oct. 19-22

1,293LV

Oct. 19-22

1,293LV

The Economist Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%

46%

TrumpHarris+3

49%

Harris

46%

Trump

1%

Stein

0%

West

Oct. 19-22

1,422RV

Oct. 19-22

1,422RV

The Economist Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%

46%

TrumpHarris+2

48%

Harris

46%

Trump

1%

Stein

0%

West

Oct. 19-22

1,500RV

Oct. 19-22

1,500RV

The Wall Street Journal Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

49%

49%

Trump Trump+3

Oct. 19-22

1,500RV

Oct. 19-22

1,500RV

The Wall Street Journal Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

2%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%

47%

TrumpTrump+2

45%

Harris

47%

Trump

2%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

Oct. 21

1,189LV

Oct. 21

1,189LV

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%

47%

TrumpTrump+2

45%

Harris

47%

Trump

2%

Oliver

1%

Stein

Oct. 18-21

1,189LV

Oct. 18-21

1,189LV

The Times of London, SAY24 Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%

45%

TrumpHarris+3

48%

Harris

45%

Trump

2%

Stein

0%

West

Oct. 18-21

1,266RV

Oct. 18-21

1,266RV

The Times of London, SAY24 Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

West

0%

45%

TrumpHarris+2

47%

Harris

45%

Trump

2%

Stein

0%

West

Oct. 17-21

802RV

Oct. 17-21

802RV

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

44%

Trump Harris+3

Oct. 16-21

3,307LV

Oct. 16-21

3,307LV

Reuters Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

45%

TrumpHarris+2

47%

Harris

45%

Trump

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

Oct. 16-21

3,481RV

Oct. 16-21

3,481RV

Reuters Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

43%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

43%

TrumpHarris+2

45%

Harris

43%

Trump

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

Oct. 16-21

4,129A

Oct. 16-21

4,129A

Reuters Harris

41%

Harris

41%

Harris

41%

Trump

39%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

1%

39%

TrumpHarris+2

41%

Harris

39%

Trump

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%

West

Oct. 16-21

4,129A

Oct. 16-21

4,129A

Reuters Harris

41%

Harris

41%

Harris

41%

Trump

39%

39%

Trump Harris+2

Oct. 16-21

3,307LV

Oct. 16-21

3,307LV

Reuters Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

45%

Trump Harris+3

Oct. 16-21

3,481RV

Oct. 16-21

3,481RV

Reuters Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

43%

43%

Trump Harris+3

National : President: general election : 2024 Polls (4)avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.

Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.

National : President: general election : 2024 Polls (2024)

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